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NFL Bargain Bets: Week 7
October 17th 2008
by Old Man Winner

Tennessee Titans (-7.5) at Kansas City Chiefs 

The Chiefs are absolutely dead last in the NFL in passing. They are in the middle of the pack, however, in rushing the ball . . . . when they have Larry Johnson! Unfortunately for KC fans, they won't have him this weekend. He has been suspended for one game for "violating team rules."

And, although I've been told way too many times not to take road favorites, I have to take the Titans in this one. They continue to play smart football. Kerry Collins, albeit not that gifted physically, understands his role. He is the one that is charged with "managing the game", which, as we all know, is a euphemism for "not f$#@&ing it up." At 40 years old, he knows that his team is built around an exceedingly strong defense and a solid running game. He needs to follow the game plan, watch for those opportunities where the opposing defense allows high percentage pass completions, and not turn the ball over. He gets it! And, therefore, the Titans will roll.

KC, on the other hand, is an organization in disarray. Besides their best player being out for this week, their second best player, Tony Gonzalez, will be in the lineup after unsuccessfully lobbying all week to be traded. Their head coach is awful and team has been distracted all week. I don't know if they will try to run the ball with a depleted offensive line and a subpar RB replacement, or try to throw the ball against a fierce pass rush. Either way, they shouldn't have much success.

Go with the Titans and don't worry if the spread climbs.

Bargain Bets 2008 Record:  4-2

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