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NFL O/U Game of the Week
October 3rd 2009 - Special K            

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (OVER 39.5 points)

I see tremendous value in the over in the Lions/Bears matchup in Week 4. For one, this is going to be the easiest defenses that Jay Cutler has faced so far this season. The Lions are giving up almost 29 points and nearly 400 yards per game.   

The Lions are also capable of moving the ball and putting up points themselves, averaging almost 20 points per game.  You can a huge improvement in the Lions offense with Matthew Stafford at the helm this year.

This Bears defense is no longer the juggernaut it once was. Seneca Wallace was able to set career highs in completions against the Bears last weekend.  The Seahawks put up 19 points and missed on several opportunities against the Bears  (2 missed field goals inside 43 yards and a fumble inside Bears territory).

The line I was expected to see for this game was in the 44-45 point range.

Take the OVER in the Lions vs Bears game (It's a  )

And if you like trends in your favor: In the last 3 years, the over has hit about 75% of the time when the Lions play on the road.  


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