NFL Super Bowl Bargain Bet
February 6th 2010 - Old Man Winner
New Orleans +5.5 vs. Indy
I've been poo-pooing "destiny" all year. But now its time to reverse direction
like Reggie Bush being called back to the bedroom by Kim Kardasian. It's time
for the "Who Dat" nation to rise up and take what the country wants them to have
- a good break. One that is sorely needed.
Yes, it's time for the Saints to go marching in!
OK, on to the game breakdown:
Although I would never dis Peyton Manning, as he is the best of the best, and
quickly approaching legend status, I just don't think that Drew Brees is far
I think there are a few points that will determine the game - in no specific
1) Injuries - these are always important, but the fact that Freeney may not play
or, at best, be extremely limited is HUGE! This truly is a game changer as he is
the straw that stirs the drink for Indy's defense. It doesn't help that DB
Jaurrad Powers is questionable with a foot injury either. The Saints look
relatively healthy in comparison. Their was an uproar when the Colts sat out
their key players headed into the playoffs, why hasn't anybody given them grief
for not pulling Freeney when the game was already on ice?????
2) Turnovers - again, always hugely important. All week I've been hearing about
how the offenses (more specifically the Colts) don't turn the ball over
(absolutely amazing that Manning didn't have a fumble all year), yet I haven't
heard anything about how the defenses force turnovers. Often times turnovers
look to be a random occurrence, but over the course of a full season you can see
how some defenses are trained to be ball hawks on every play. Yes, the Saints
may have been 25th in the league in yardage gained against them, but they were
#2 in takeaways. They smelled blood in the water with the Vikings last week and
caused 5 turnovers. Greg Williams will find the Colts to attack.
3) Weather - Although cold and snow will obviously not come into play, as all
astute followers know its the wind that affects the passing game more than any
other single weather factor. I have watched multiple live shows from Miami this
week and seen the wind whipping through stages with such power that the guys are
living in fear of their toupees blowing away and the women have been on a steady
diet of hairspray. It's been windy, and if it doesn't calm down this could help
the team with the better running game - The Saints.
4) Special Teams - Watch out for Reggie Bush - he could be this years Devin
5) Coaching - Yes, Peyton is a head coach on the field, but he only commandeers
control of half of the team (less if you count special teams). Clearly Sean
Payton is the better coach and with two weeks to prepare he should have some
Overall, I think the game sets up nicely for the Saints. I'm not sure they will
win, but I do think they cover. Take the points before the spread drops too low.