NFL Bargain Bets for Wildcard Weekend
January 5th 2010 - Old Man Winner
GB +3 @ Phi
Its hard to take a team playing on the road in the playoffs, but if there is
a team that has their "arrow pointing up" its the Green Bay Packers. Aaron
Rodgers is healthy as are his receivers. That's their team identity. However,
their defense is the hidden story. In their last 6 games they are only allowing
an average of 15 points per game - and if you take out the 31 that the
worldbeater NE Pats dropped on them then the number is only 12 pts a game. Their
defense is probably the quickest in the whole league and is peaking. That is bad
news for Philly and Michael Vick.
IMHO the Eagles arrow is pointing down right now. If you've watched Vick in any
of his last three games you may have noticed that he looks a lot more human. He
looks like he's slowed substantially and he has taken a beating of late. I also
heard a stat this week that Vick has the highest rate of "bad decisions" of any
QB in the league (definition unknown). I believe it. Although he throws a
beautiful long ball and can scramble like Charlie Sheen grabbing his clothes in
the morning, he doesn't seem to make great decisions with the ball in the other
situations. Vick has gotten physically abused this year and it is definitely
starting to show. DeSean Jackson also looks like he may have lost half a step,
which only means he is still probably at least a half step faster than anyone
else in the league with the exception of maybe Jacoby Ford of the Raiders.
Philly's defense is not as quick as they used to be and their pass rush has
dropped off. Aaron Rodgers is more mobile than most NFL QB's and he could cause
big problems out of the pocket. The Eagles have allowed an average of 26 pts to
opponents in their last 10 games, and their opponents haven't been the offensive
juggernaut that the Packers are.
Although I give the coaching edge to Philly (which will help them keep it
close), I just don't see the Philly defense being able to keep up. Both teams
have explosive special teams and I also wouldn't be surprised to see at least
one return for touchdown.
GB 30 Phi 24
|Information and recommendations made by
PylonPicks.com are for entertainment and informational purposes
only. Any use of this information in violation of any federal,
state and/or local laws is prohibited. This is not a betting
site. PylonPicks.com does not accept or place bets in any form
for it's visitors. It is highly recommended that you check with
your local or state government before partaking in online
gambling. PylonPicks.com is not liable for any losses incurred
as a result of it's information or recommendations.
PylonPicks.com is not affiliated in any way with the National
Football League, or any other football organization. PERSONS
UNDER THE AGE OF 18 ARE NOT ALLOWED HERE.