NFL Conference Championship Underdog Pick
January 20th 2012 - Special K
New York Giants (+2.5) at San Francisco 49ers
It is only fitting that Eli Manning play in his brother's stadium for the Super
Bowl this year. There are several reasons why I like the Giants this week. For
one, I get the team with a better offense and a quarterback who is playing elite
football. It is a quarterback driven league, just look at the last few Super
Bowls. The Giants have a huge advantage at wide receiver with three
playmakers (Cruz, Nicks, and Manningham). The 49ers are limited with Crabtree being the only threat.
I expect Alex
Smith to struggle this week because the Giants can apply a lot of pressure with
their defensive front and can drop more defenders in coverage. The Saints
blitzed often last week and got burned several times with Vernon Davis being
matched up one on one. The Giants will make sure this doesn't happen this week.
The Giants have much more experience in big games and have played some
their best football on the road. The Giants are 4-0 in NFC championship games. I
look for them to go 5-0 after this week. There is a lot of value in the Giants
getting 2.5 points. I like the Giants in this spot.
My prediction: Giants 20 - 49ers 16
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