NFL Underdog Pick: Week 13
November 29th 2007
by Special K
Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) at Indianapolis Colts
Last week, I was right on when I said that there were going to be 6 teams that
would cover the spread on Sunday. However, Devin Hester spoiled my Broncos
underdog pick of the week. I don't even want to talk about that game.
This week I predict that there will be at least
9 underdog teams that will cover. The Jacksonville Jaguars are going to be the
biggest spoiler and sneak away with a
victory over the Colts to force a tie a top the AFC South.
You always picture the Colts as being the team that controls the ball with
Peyton Manning and their offense. Guess what, the Jags actually have an
edge over the Colts in overall time of possession for the year. How about
this for a shocker? David Garrard has a passer rating of 103.1
while Peyton Manning's is 89.4. In the last 3 games, the Jags also have a
statistical edge over the Colts in scoring offense and defense. What is
the perfect formula for beating the Colts? Keeping Manning frustrated on the
sidelines with ball control and a Jags defensive front that causes havoc
on the wounded Colts offensive line. I expect a close hard fought game with the
Jags sneaking away with the victory.
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