NFL Underdog Pick: Week 13
November 29th 2007
by Special K

Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) at Indianapolis Colts

Last week, I was right on when I said that there were going to be 6 teams that would cover the spread on Sunday. However, Devin Hester spoiled my Broncos underdog pick of the week.  I don't even want to talk about that game.  This week I predict that there will be at least 9 underdog teams that will cover. The Jacksonville Jaguars are going to be the biggest spoiler and sneak away with a victory over the Colts to force a tie a top the AFC South. 

You always picture the Colts as being the team that controls the ball with Peyton Manning and their offense.  Guess what, the Jags actually have an edge over the Colts in overall time of possession for the year.  How about this for a shocker? David Garrard has a passer rating of 103.1 while Peyton Manning's is 89.4.  In the last 3 games, the Jags also have a statistical edge over the Colts in scoring offense and defense.  What is the perfect formula for beating the Colts? Keeping Manning frustrated on the sidelines with ball control and a Jags defensive front that causes havoc on the wounded Colts offensive line. I expect a close hard fought game with the Jags sneaking away with the victory.