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NFL Bargain Bets: AFC WildCard
January 1st 2009
by Old Man Winner

Indianapolis Colts (-1) vs San Diego Chargers 

When the playoffs arrive, the dynamics of games change. Home field advantage lessens, and momentum and toughness seem to take over. I believe that each of the Road teams this week (oddly all favorites) have both the momentum on their side and are the tougher teams, with possibly the exception of the Minnesota Vikings vs. Philly.

So, why do I like the Colts? Let me list the reasons:

They:
    have a better coach
    have a better quarterback
    have the momentum advantage, having won 9 straight
    have their starting offensive line intact (maybe the most important of all)
    have the NFL's MVP on defense in Bob Sanders
    have been improving defensively all year long
    owe the Chargers payback for knocking them out of the playoffs last year

And, why don't I like the Chargers? Let me list the reasons:

    How can anyone like Philip Rivers?
    How can anyone respect Norv Turner as a head coach?
    LT is not healthy and may pull another disappearing act in the playoffs again -     he just does not play tough enough in the playoffs
    Gates has a banged up ankle
    Shawne Merriman was the difference maker in that defense and they have not
     been the same without him all year long
    Sproles is too much of a finesse player in what will be a more physical game

I expect the difference makers for the Colts this week to be their defensive ends. They will get to Rivers and create turnovers. Watch!

Colts 29 Chargers 24

Bargain Bets 2008 Record:  9-7-1

 


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