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NFL Bargain Bets for Week 16
December 27th 2009 - Old Man Winner             

Ah, the Holidays! I love 'em, but they wreak havoc on my fantasy responsibilities.

I apologize to all my loyal followers for the tardy posting on this post. I know it's post on Sunday morning doesn't help those who've already visited the window, but to maintain the integrity of the picks I thought I would go "on the record."

Since the stakes are a little lower on these picks, I'm going to mention several games and my brief rationale rather than a lengthier write-up on only one game.

SD -3
I know I didn't write this one up prior to the game, but I did officially post the pick. Love the Chargers. They may not lose again this year. They're looking pretty "SUPER".

KC + 14
KC was thoroughly embarrassed last week by Cleveland. They looked like a high school team on defense. Guys were giving up all over the place. I just don't see that happening again. Besides this could be a "weather" game and Cincy will be focused on the run so it should slow things down enough for a cover here.

Mia -3
Miami is a very physical team. Houston is more of a finesse team. I like to say that "when a physical team meets a finesse team, usually the physical team wins". I'm sticking with that theory here and the home team. The loser is out of the playoff chase and I just think Parcells and Sparano's will takes over in this one.

NYG -7
The Giants have become a roller coaster team this year you never know when they are going to be up or down. However, I think last week's domination on Monday night was good for their confidence and I think they are officially in their playoff mode.

SF -12
It's tough to pick a .500 team and give 12 pts., but I think Mike Singletary continually preaches "finishing", which is what they want to do in their last two games. Beside being a poor team, all of Detroit's so-called stars are either out or hurt to some degree. Stafford and Kevin Smith are out and Megatron is not at full strength. I expect a big number from SF today.

NYJ +5
Don't ask me why I love the Jets in this one. I just have a hunch this is the day the old Dolphins pop the champagne. Rob Ryan wants to hang his hat on something this year after so many disappointing loses and deep down I think the execs in Indy think they'd have a better chance at another Super Bowl with a taste of defeat before the playoffs.

Love Dallas this week. I think all the December BS is behind them and they are a legit team heading into the playoffs. Washington is an absolute mess and completely distracted. I think they get thumped again this week.

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