NFL Bargain Bets: Week 10
November 8th 2007
by Old Man Winner
Comment on Bargain Picks
This is Upset Week. I'm taking the
three games (teams) getting the most points this week. I'll go even further out
on a limb and predict that at least one of these teams will win outright.
Cleveland Browns +9.5 @ Pittsburg Steelers
Cleveland is on a roll and is quickly becoming an offensive juggernaut. Derek
Anderson is for real (Brady who?), Braylon Edwards may be the best receiver in
football, Kellen Winslow catches everything within reach, and Jamal Lewis is
serviceable (4TD's last week). Pittsburgh has looked good, especially
defensively, but if Anderson gets any time, he should be able to beat the Pitt
secondary. I love getting points against teams coming off big Monday night wins.
They often get surprised.
St. Louis Rams +11.5 @ New Orleans Saints
Yes, the Rams are winless. Yes, the Rams are horrible. Yes, the Rams have only
covered the spread once this year. Yes, the Rams have no one to block for SJax
or protect Bulger. Yes, NO has turned the corner and look more like last year's
team than the winless one from earlier this season. Yes, the Brees to Colston
connection is back. Yes, Bush is finally getting into the end zone more
regularly. Yes, the Saints are playing at home in the dome. Yes, take the Rams
and the points.
San Francisco 49ers +10 @ Seattle Seahawks
The 49ers have lost their last six games, but they're just not that bad. The
Seahawks four wins are against teams with a combined record of 9-24. Much of the
reason the spread is this high is based on the earlier game between these two
teams in which Seattle trounced SF 23-3. However, that was the game that Alex
Smith was knocked out early in the game and an unprepared and under skilled
Trent Dilfer had to pinch hit. Vernon Davis was also out that game. The 49ers
are healthier now and should find a way to cover if not win.