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November
10th 2012 - Old Man Winner

Hou +1 @ Chi

Da Bears defense has been killing it - they have scored more touchdowns on interceptions returned than three teams have scored passing (Mia, Car ,and KC). That's crazy! However, that pace cannot be sustained. This week they run into a team that knows how to protect the ball. Check out these stats (NFL rank) for the Texans this year: only 1 fumble (#1), 5 interceptions thrown (#3), and 10 sacks given up (#2).

The Texans will try to establish the run early and frustrate the Bears defense by not providing many ball hawking opportunities. If the Texans can manage to keep their turnovers to two or less they should be able to manage the Bears, because I do not think that Cutler can manage his. We haven't seen him blow-up lately and that means he is waaaaay overdue. Tongue in cheek Texans Defensive Coordinator, Wade Phillips, promised to double team Brandon Marshall on every play. As much as he said he was kidding, I don't think he was. Take away Marshall from the Bears offense and they will not be able to "matriculate" down the field.

Hou 24 Chi 17



Det -2 @ Min
Detroit is finally starting to click on offense. They will be playing indoors on a fast track with superior speed. Minnesota, on the other hand is beat up. Harvin will likely not play and AP has been sick this week. Ponder is digressing. As long as the Viking pass rush doesn't force Stafford into stupid turnovers (which is always possible), I see Detroit running away (literally) with this one. Look for rookie WR Broyles to have his breakout game.

Det 31 Min 16


I also like the UNDER (26 1/2) in the first half of the Buffalo/NE game and the UNDER (48) of the SD/TB game.







 
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