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September
15th 2012 - Old Man Winner

Was -3 @ Stl

I know I'm not the first to say this, but RGIII is the real deal. Last week he looked like a veteran QB - patient in the pocket and a solid decision maker. However, unlike most vets, this guy is called "The Arm" and can use his legs. Now don't get me wrong, we all realize that one game does not a season make, but the 'skins are playing quite possibly the worst team in football - and they are banged up! This spread should be at least 7.

The Rams will be without one starting guard and another tackle is questionable. The Redskins should be able to shut down the Rams running game and squeeze down Stafford's release time to such a degree that he won't be able to throw more than 10 yards down the field.

I don't like that Garcon may not play, as his downfield speed really helped to open the middle of the field last week, but it looks as though Mike Shanahan may have found a RB he likes (for at least one more week) and will most definitely use him to establish the ground game against a very questionable Ram front.

This should be a fairly low scoring game, but I expect the Redskins front 7 to be the difference in the game.
Was 24 Stl 13


Cle/Cin UNDER 38.5

I am going to take the UNDER with Cleveland until the line catches up. This is a horrible offensive team and a pretty good defensive one. That equals a low total, especially when the team they are playing is not necessarily an offensive juggernaut. Joe Haden completely dominated the game last week from his CB position - very hard to do, but he is quickly becoming an elite CB that could soon challenge Revis for the #1 spot. Unfortunately, Haden is suspended for the next four weeks. This should give A. J. Green much more room to work. However, I still like the under here in this in-state rivalry game.
Cin 20 Cle 13


Ari/NE Under 48

The Pats defense was terrible last year. It has improved tremendously. They added two stud pass rushers, and their young linebackers have started to get comfortable in their scheme. Arizona is a total offensive mess, especially with Kolb behind center. They are a turnover waiting to happen. However, their defense is very tough and could give that NE offensive line some trouble. As long as there is not more than one defense or special team score, Arizona will make sure this game stays under the number.
NE 27 Ari 13

 
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