NFL Underdog Pick for Week 11
16th 2012 - Special K  

San Diego Chargers (+7.5) at Denver Broncos

Last week I completely nailed the Chiefs and Steelers football pick. This week I love the Chargers and the 7.5 points. This high spread is a complete overreaction to the Chargers loss at Tampa Bay last week. If you just look at the stats from the Tampa Bay game you start scratching your head wondering how the Chargers even lost that football game. Well, a blocked punt and a pick six, that's how, pretty similar to how the Broncos came back and beat the Chargers in week 6. The Chargers had complete control over the Broncos at home in week 6 and let that game slip away.

The Broncos have been one of the most underrated teams by Vegas so far in 2012 based on the fact that they have only been favored in 5 out of their 10 games. A month ago the Broncos were 2.5 point underdogs against this same Chargers team. Now the Broncos are 7.5 point favorites? C'mon man. This will be a close divisional battle right down to the very end. I'll take the Bolts and 7.5 points all day. Plus, I like the fact that the Chargers have covered in 5 out of their last 6 games in Denver.
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Take the Chargers and the points
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