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NFL Underdog Pick for Week 5
October 5th 2012 - Special K            

Cleveland Browns (+9.5) at New York Giants

How could you possibly take the Cleveland Browns to cover against the Super Bowl champs? It's simple. The Giants are probably one of the worst teams to pick when they are a heavy favorite. In the last 8 games that the Giants were favored by 7+ points, they have only covered once. Meanwhile, the Browns have covered their last 4 games where they were a 7+ point underdog. For whatever the reason may be, the Giants always seem to play down to inferior competition and play much better when they are on the road and in an underdog role.

The Giants are also quickly running out of players left to suit up on defense. The next man up to play in the secondary might actually be Victor Cruz or maybe even coach Coughlin. Luckily for the Giants, the Browns are extremely limited at the WR position to put it nicely.
 
I've got a little advice for Greg Little this week:  

Weeden probably had his best game of the season last week against the Ravens. He looked poised and stepped up nicely in the pocket. Weeden and the Browns defense should be good enough to keep this game close.  If you are looking for an underdog to win outright, I like the Seattle Seahawks this week to get back on track against the Carolina Panthers.

Take the Browns and the Points

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