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NFL Underdog Pick for Week 6
October 12th 2012 - Special K            

Dallas Cowboys (+3.5) at Baltimore Ravens

Guess who will be back in the Cowboys starting lineup against the Ravens? Jay Ratliff. If you are expecting Ray Rice to run all over the Cowboys 15th ranked rush defense, think again. Ratliff is a difference maker and a key cog that was missing in the Cowboys defense this season. He should give the Cowboys defense a needed lift against the Ravens this weekend. Bruce Carter is also the Cowboys best cover linebacker. His athletic ability will cause problems for the Ravens offense when they run those screens and check downs to Rice. I like how the Cowboys defense matches up with the Ravens offense. With the exception of covering Marshall a couple weeks ago, the secondary has played very well and the Cowboys defense should force Flacco into making a couple mistakes.

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The Ravens have not looked that great on offense the last two games and they played against the Browns and Chiefs. The Ravens were even outgained by the Chiefs in total yardage last week. Maybe they were sleepwalking through those games, but to me, the Ravens are starting to look like the limited offense that they had last season. The no huddle approach doesn't seem to be working as it has put more pressure on an aging defense when they go 3 and out.

The Cowboys have also struggled on the offensive side of the ball, but Tony Romo has still been successful airing the ball out, averaging 295+ passing yards per game. All I keep hearing this week is how the Cowboys need to run the ball more, but if I were them, I would try to exploit the Ravens 22nd ranked pass defense. Tony Romo will take much better care of the football in this game. I like the Cowboys in an upset here. Besides, the Ravens can't go up 2.5 games on the Steelers this early into the season :)

Take the Cowboys and the points
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