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September
2nd 2013 - Old Man Winner

Tennessee Titans +7 at Pittsburgh Steelers

I love week #1 - always tremendous value out there. What a way to start the year - with a gift from the Week #1 Football Gods.

Mark my words, this will be a down year for the Pittsburgh Steelers and a plus year for Tennessee, and its starts in week 1. I think the Titans could easily win this game outright, but I fully expected the oddsmakers to make the terrible towel waivers a 3-3.5 point favorite. Imagine my delight to see the Titans getting a full touchdown!!! I plan to play this game on the money line and back it up with a spread play as a hedge.

Generally, fans and bettors think of the Steelers as winners and the Titans as losers. However, the facts tell a different story. The Steelers are a mess on offense. Their line is abysmal, the will start what amounts to their third string running back, and they've lost arguably their best receiver. Big Ben has lost what little mobility he had and he will be running for his life in most games. Their defense lost a litany of their best players in the offseason and I expect their younger players to need at least a few weeks to gel.

For the Titans, they know who they are and that is a running team. They spent the offseason bolstering their offensive line. We saw glimpses in the pre-season of the difference these guys will make to their RB Chris Johnson. Don't be surprised if he returns to CJ2K form from just a few short years ago. Also, Kenny Britt is an elite talent, and if he can stay healthy, he could make a huge difference in this offense. The Tennessee defense has some play makers and I expect at least a couple of interceptions in this one.

Take the Titans in week 1 and start your year off with a win!

Other games I like: Atl +3 @ NO, Hou -3.5 @ SD, and Dal -3 vs. NYG



 
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