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NFL Underdog Pick for Week 15
December 13
th 2013 - Special K  
          

New York Jets (+11) at Carolina Panthers

This is the first time in over 5 years that the Jets have been an underdog this large to a team not named the Patriots. The Jets were once a 14 point underdog to the Cowboys back in 2007. The Jets are wedged in between two Saints games for the Panthers. The Panthers finally came back down to reality last week against the Saints and could get caught looking ahead to next week's rematch. When I handicapped this game, I only had the Panthers favored by 7.5, so to me, I see some value here and this is why I am picking the Jets.

Yes, I do understand the reasons why the spread is this large. Geno Smith has definitely struggled on the road and the Panthers defense is tops in the leagues. However, Geno Smith was able to bounce back last week in a game they needed, granted it was against the Raiders. One of the main reasons that Smith performed much better was because he has Jeremy Kerley back. Even with all the games Kerley has missed, he is still the Jets leading receiver. Yes that is a very sad statement but listen, the Panthers offense is not that explosive either. Baring a barrage of Jets turnovers, the Jets should be able to keep this game close and hang with the Panthers. The Jets defense matches up very well with the Carolina offense. The Jets have been solid in stopping the run all year.  It is hard to pass up this many points with a team that is still in the playoff hunt.

 
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