NFL Underdog Pick Week 11
November 15th
2014 - Special K  

Philadelphia Eagles (+6) at Green Bay Packers

With over 80% of the public bets on the side of the Packers this week, I feel pretty good about being a contrarian and rolling with the Eagles this week. I'm getting 6 points with a great team that has won 14 out of their last 17 games under Chip Kelly. Also, the Eagles 2 losses this year were by less than 6 points and came against two pretty good teams in the Cardinals and 49ers.

I know what you are thinking right now. Butt fumbler Sanchez sucks, how can he beat Aaron Rodgers? I've watched Mark Sanchez in both the Texans and Panthers game and he is not a dropoff from Nick Foles. In fact he offers a little more mobility than Foles. Sanchez will need that mobility on Sunday as he tries to escape from Clay Matthews. If Sanchez doesn't revert back into the turnover machine that he was with the Jets, the Eagles will stay close to the Packers in this football game. The Eagles have the firepower on offense to do it. The turnover differential will be a huge factor in this game so Sanchez really needs to be secure with the football since Aaron Rodgers has not even thrown a single interception at Lambeau yet this season.

Let's not get carried away with the Packers thrashing of the Bears last weekend either. As I see it, the Packers have faced 4 tough teams so far this season in the Lions, Dolphins, Seahawks, and Saints. They have a 1-3 record against those teams and the one win came on a last second pass. I look for the Eagles to get their running game going this week against one of the league's worst rush defenses. That is the reason you saw Clay Matthews playing at middle linebacker against the Bears.

One thing that has puzzled me all year with the Eagles is the lack of touches that Darren Sproles gets. Sproles always seems to make huge plays so Chip give him the ball more!!!

I expect a playoff atmosphere at Lambeau and I expect the Eagles to cover this football game.

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