NFL Underdog Pick Week 5
October 3rd
2014 - Special K  

Chicago Bears (+2.5) at Carolina Panthers

The first piece of good news for Chicago is that the NFL draft is moving there in 2015. The second piece of good news is that the Bears will be playing a depleted Panthers team. No Greg Hardy, no designed run plays for Cam Newton due to his injury and I honestly can't name one of the Panthers running backs this week. The Panthers are simply a below average team that can stay in games against sub par offenses because of their solid defense. However, the Bears offense can put up points. The Bears are also road warriors this year, 2-0 straight up and 2-0 ATS.

Statistically, the biggest mismatch in this game between both teams is in red zone efficiency. The Panthers rank dead last on defense in red zone efficiency giving up touchdowns 80% of the time. On offense, the Panthers also rank dead last on scoring touchdowns in the red zone. Meanwhile, the Bears rank 2nd on offense in red zone scoring and 5th on defense in preventing touchdowns. How many times this season have you seen Brandon Marshall use his height and box out a defensive back to score a td? It should happen again this week. I like the Bears in this football game.

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