NFL Underdog Pick Week 15
December 16th 2016
- Special K            

Tennessee Titans
(+5.5) at Kansas City Chiefs

Let's quickly analyze how the Kansas City Chiefs are winning football games despite having some of the worst statistics in the NFL. The Chiefs have been out gained by an average of 50 yards per game. One of the main reasons the Chiefs are 10-3 is that the defense has forced a league-high 25 turnovers. The defense also has 5 defensive touchdowns and the Special Teams have two return touchdowns, not to mention a 2 pt conversion and a fake punt for a TD. That is how you win games when you ranked in the bottom half in points scored, rushing yards, passing yards, 3rd down conversions, red zone efficiency, and time of possession.

Just so you know, the Titans rank higher than the Chiefs in all those categories I just mentioned.
If this football game is going to come down to turnovers, let it be known that Marcus Mariota hasn't thrown an interception in his 4 last games. Murray ranks second in the NFL in rushing and
with the loss of linebacker Derrick Johnson, I expect the Titans to feed him the football a lot on Sunday. This will take a lot of pressure off of Mariota. I also like the fact that Mariota just played against arguably the best defense in the NFL last week and the same game plan can be applied here.

Mariota really struggled against the Broncos only completing 6 out of 20 passes. He will make the necessary adjustments against another worthy defense this week in the Chiefs. 5.5 points is too much for a game that will most likely be determined by a field goal.

Take the Titans and the points
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