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NFL Underdog Pick Week 7
October 21st 2016
- Special K            

Oakland Raiders
(+1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

The Oakland Raiders begin their two week hiatus to the Sunshine State with a week 7 football game against Jack Del Rio's former team, the Jacksonville Jaguars. Yes, the Raiders are barely an underdog in this matchup. Regardless, they are a 1 point underdog and are still not feeling any love from Vegas. Maybe once they move there, things will be different. Anyways, I had the Raiders as a three point favorite in this game so I am jumping at this opportunity to prove the oddsmakers wrong once again this year.

Usually, a good defense travels well, yet somehow the Raiders are 3-0 on the road this season with the league's worst defense. One reason for the Raiders success on the road is that Derek Carr and the Raiders have been very good at protecting the football. The Raiders are a +5 in the turnover ratio while the Jaguars are a -4. The Jaguars are ranked 29th when it comes to defensive turnovers so I don't expect that to be a factor this week. The Raiders offense should also get a boost this week when Latavius Murray returns to the backfield.

Maybe you are worried about the West coast team traveling East for any early morning game theory?
The Raiders are planning to stay in Florida for the next ten days. When Jim Harbaugh coached the 49ers, he used to stay on the East coast when they had to play back to back games and this plan worked out very well for his team. The players bonded and grew closer together. I expect that the Raiders will experience the same results here.

Jacksonville hardly has a home field advantage. The Jaguars had more fan support when they were playing over in London. I like the Raiders chances of going 4-0 on the road with their offense outscoring the Jaguars. Jack Del Rio will stick it to his former team.

Take the Raiders and the point
 
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