NFL Best Bets for Week 12|
November 25th 2017 - Old Man Winner
GB +14 @ Pit
Do you smell that? This game smells like a classic upset just waiting to
happen. One team is rolling and the other is realing. One team looks to have
their conference wrapped up while the other doesn't seem like they have a chance
to make the playoffs. That, my friends, is a game where you need to beware.
No one is giving the Packers a chance in this one as they travel to Pittsburgh
to play the Steelers who appear to finally be clicking on both sides of the
ball, especially since GB is rolling out their second string QB who by no means
appears comfortable against NFL caliber defenses.
This one's not about the X's and O's, but rather a pattern with teams that is
developed over the years. Of course the Steelers are a much better team on
paper, but I just think 14 points is way too many in this one.
I think the Packers have a slim chance to make the playoffs, but they need to
win now, and they know it. The Steelers on the other hand tend to regularly play
down to the competition and will be looking ahead to 'tougher' games. I expect
them to falter here, even if its just a little bit.
Keep in mind, when you are playing against a spread this big in the NFL, there
are a tremendous number of things that provide the underdog an advantage -
things such as turnovers, weather, lack of focus, poor officiating, and most
importantly the classic of the team that is ahead just sitting on a lead to
ensure a victory. Remember, its not like in college where margin of victory is
critical and powerhouses play it to the end.
I don't know how GB does it, but have a hunch they hang in this one.
Pit 24 GB 23