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October 14th 2017 - Old Man Winner

Denver Broncos -11.5 vs New York Giants

With some games the most important thing to remember is "just don't overthink it."

Is it obvious? Yes. Will everyone want this side of the bet? Yes. Should that matter? No!

C'mon . . . .how are the Giants going to score? Are they going to try and run the ball with a poor offensive line and no running back that would start on any other team against a club that only gives up an avg. of 50 yds per game to their opponents? Of course not. Are they going to try and role out a pass game that last week lost 4 players that to-date had received 86% of the team targets against a Broncos defense that is nicknamed the 'no fly zone'? They may try.

No, I seriously have my doubts as to whether or not the Giants score ANY points in this game. Maybe they get lucky and score a defensive score or special teams score. Frankly, that may be their best chance.

They are also traveling across the country, playing on a Sunday night, have been distracted all week by off the field issues (all the injuries and suspending one of their better defensive players indefinitely). Talk about stacking the deck.

Some of you may want to be a hero contrarian, not me. I think Denver could easily be a 20+ pt favorite and still cover. This is more like a college powerhouse playing one of their early season tune-up games.


Den 38 NYG 3


 

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