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NFL Underdog Pick Week 13
December 1st 2018
- Special K            

Buffalo Bills (+4.5) at Miami Dolphins



I am not going to overthink this game. I like the Bills matchups in this football game. The Dolphins rank 29th in rush defense (yards per game) and are 25th in yards per attempt. What are the Bills going to do on offense? run the football with McCoy and Allen.

The Bills defense is 2nd in the NFL in yards allowed and the Dolphins come into this game with several players questionable on offense. No Amendola, Parker banged up, and Drake was limited in practice. Stills is going to be even more frustrated as he goes against arguably one of the best secondaries in the NFL. I expect this to be a low scoring battle (probably 20-17 game) so I see a lot of value in the 4.5 points in this spot.



Take the Bills and the points



 
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