NFL Underdog Pick Week 7
October 18th 2019
- Special K            

New York Jets (+9.5) vs New England Patriots

I realize it is never a wise move to bet against the hoodie especially coming off some extra rest, but the extra rest didn't seem to benefit the Patriots offense. Josh Gordon is out, their tight ends are banged up and we already know their offensive line is hurting. The Patriots offense has not been that dominant, it has been the defense carrying the Patriots thus far in 2019. Meanwhile, the Jets are getting healthy. Darnold got a game under his belt against the Cowboys and the Jets will get a boost to their defense with Mosley coming back. 

Listen, this isn't going to be a blowout like everyone thinks. I see this game playing out similar to the Bills/Patriots matchup earlier this season when the Patriots won by 6. It will be a defensive battle. The Patriots replacement kicker struggles to make a field goal more than 40 yards so that could be a factor as well. The Patriots are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New York.

Take the points and the Jets

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