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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
LINE: NE -11  O/U:51
Sun 1:00 PM CBS


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

Buffalo Bills 3 5 0 0-2 1-2 2-3 2-4 1-1 3-5 5-3-0
New England Patriots 5 3 0 2-0 2-1 3-2 4-1 1-2 5-3 6-2-0

2012 Statistics  
  NE Offense BUF Defense
Points Scored 32.75 31
Total Yards 440.75 417.87
Rush Yards 149.62 169.5
Pass Yards 291.12 248.37
3rd Down 48.71% 46.07%
Red Zone Eff 63.15% 75%
Time of Poss 31:52 31:32
  BUF Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 22.5 21.25
Total Yards 343.87 371.12
Rush Yards 141.25 89
Pass Yards 202.62 282.12
3rd Down 39.58% 41.58%
Red Zone Eff 52.38% 55%
Time of Poss 28:57 29:04

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 09/30/12 4 NE 52 @ Buf 28 NE -4 O 51.5
Sun, 01/01/12 17 Buf 21 @ NE 49 NE -11 O 50
Sun, 09/25/11 3 NE 31 @ Buf 34 Buf +8.5 O 54
Sun, 12/26/10 16 NE 34 @ Buf 3 NE -8 U 44
Sun, 09/26/10 3 Buf 30 @ NE 38 Buf +14 O 43
Sun, 12/20/09 15 NE 17 @ Buf 10 P +7 U 40.5
Mon, 09/14/09 1 Buf 24 @ NE 25 Buf +10.5 O 47.5
Sun, 12/28/08 17 NE 13 @ Buf 0 NE -6 U 36
Sun, 11/09/08 10 Buf 10 @ NE 20 NE -4 U 41.5
Sun, 11/18/07 11 NE 56 @ Buf 10 NE -16 O 47
Sun, 09/23/07 3 Buf 7 @ NE 38 NE -16 O 42

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The New England Patriots are a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over the Buffalo Bills. Tom Brady is averaging 269 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Stevan Ridley is projected for 77 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Ryan Fitzpatrick averages 2.11 TD passes vs 0.86 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.52 TDs to 1.63 interceptions. C.J. Spiller averages 64 rushing yards and 0.45 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 39 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. New England Patriots has a 60% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time.

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