San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
LINE: TB -3  O/U:48
Sun 1:00 PM CBS

  W L T







San Diego Chargers 4 4 0 0-1 1-2 0-2 1-0 0-4 4-4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4 4 0 1-0 2-1 0-2 1-0 1-3 6-2

2012 Statistics  
  TB Offense SD Defense
Points Scored 28.25 19.62
Total Yards 376.37 322.37
Rush Yards 130.5 84.62
Pass Yards 245.87 237.75
3rd Down 33.66% 40.81%
Red Zone Eff 64% 75%
Time of Poss 30:37 28:05
  SD Offense TB Defense
Points Scored 23.12 23.12
Total Yards 323.25 398.37
Rush Yards 105.87 78.12
Pass Yards 217.37 320.25
3rd Down 40.95% 35.77%
Red Zone Eff 50% 44%
Time of Poss 31:55 29:23

Recent Games        






Sun, 12/21/08 16 SD 41 @ TB 24 SD +3.5 O 42.5
Sun, 12/12/04 14 TB 24 @ SD 31 SD -4.5 O 43

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers tie

Expect a close game with the San Diego Chargers winning 52% of simulations, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The San Diego Chargers commit fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 80% when they take care of the ball. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Philip Rivers is averaging 285 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (27% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Doug Martin is averaging 100 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 70%.

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