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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
LINE: BUF -1.5  O/U:46.5
Thu 8:20 PM NFL Network


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

Miami Dolphins 4 5 0 1-1 2-2 2-3 3-4 1-1 4-3 3-5-1
Buffalo Bills 3 6 0 0-3 1-2 2-4 2-5 1-1 4-5 6-3-0

2012 Statistics  
  BUF Offense MIA Defense
Points Scored 23.44 20.66
Total Yards 359.11 372.22
Rush Yards 143.55 93.66
Pass Yards 215.55 278.55
3rd Down 42.05% 34.5%
Red Zone Eff 53.57% 41.93%
Time of Poss 29:29 32:19
  MIA Offense BUF Defense
Points Scored 19.22 31.66
Total Yards 323.88 410
Rush Yards 103.88 163.66
Pass Yards 220 246.33
3rd Down 36.29% 47.36%
Red Zone Eff 52.17% 75.75%
Time of Poss 29:24 30:56

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 12/18/11 15 Mia 30 @ Buf 23 Mia -1 O 41.5
Sun, 11/20/11 11 Buf 8 @ Mia 35 Mia -2 U 43.5
Sun, 12/19/10 15 Buf 17 @ Mia 14 Buf +5.5 U 40
Sun, 09/12/10 1 Mia 15 @ Buf 10 Mia -3 U 38.5
Sun, 11/29/09 12 Mia 14 @ Buf 31 Buf +3 O 39
Sun, 10/04/09 4 Buf 10 @ Mia 38 Mia +3 O 37
Sun, 12/07/08 14 Mia 16 @ Buf 3 Mia +1 U 42.5
Sun, 10/26/08 8 Buf 16 @ Mia 25 Mia +1.5 U 42.5
Sun, 12/09/07 14 Mia 17 @ Buf 38 Buf -7 O 36.5
Sun, 11/11/07 10 Buf 13 @ Mia 10 P +3 U 40.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers tie
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Miami Dolphins winning 47% of simulations, and the Buffalo Bills 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Miami Dolphins commit fewer turnovers in 46% of simulations and they go on to win 72% when they take care of the ball. The Buffalo Bills wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Reggie Bush is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. C.J. Spiller is averaging 73 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 75%.

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