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Houston Texans at Detroit Lions
LINE: DET +3  O/U:50.5
Thu 12:30 PM CBS


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O/U

Houston Texans 9 1 0 3-0 5-1 4-0 8-0 1-1 7-3 5-5
Detroit Lions 4 6 0 0-4 2-2 2-4 1-1 3-5 3-6 6-4

2012 Statistics  
  DET Offense HOU Defense
Points Scored 23.6 18
Total Yards 401.7 299.6
Rush Yards 100.1 86.3
Pass Yards 301.6 213.3
3rd Down 40.76% 25.58%
Red Zone Eff 60.52% 43.47%
Time of Poss 31:20 25:51
  HOU Offense DET Defense
Points Scored 29.3 24.6
Total Yards 382.9 328.2
Rush Yards 136.7 113.5
Pass Yards 246.2 214.7
3rd Down 41.42% 37.98%
Red Zone Eff 57.5% 38.09%
Time of Poss 35:27 29:55

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 10/19/08 7 Det 21 @ Hou 28 Det +8.5 O 47
Sun, 09/19/04 2 Hou 16 @ Det 28 Det -3.5 O 43.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Houston Texans winning 59% of simulations, and the Detroit Lions 41% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Houston Texans commit fewer turnovers in 65% of simulations and they go on to win 75% when they take care of the ball. The Detroit Lions wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matt Schaub is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Matthew Stafford is averaging 288 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 49%.

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