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Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts
LINE: IND -3  O/U:51.5
Sun 1:00 PM CBS


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

Buffalo Bills 4 6 0 1-1 2-1 2-2 3-2 1-1 4-1 3-4-0
Indianapolis Colts 6 4 0 1-1 3-1 1-2 2-2 2-1 4-3 3-4-0

2012 Statistics  
  IND Offense BUF Defense
Points Scored 21 29.9
Total Yards 393.4 387.4
Rush Yards 110.4 153.3
Pass Yards 283 234.1
3rd Down 44.89% 45.96%
Red Zone Eff 50% 76.47%
Time of Poss 32:06 30:20
  BUF Offense IND Defense
Points Scored 23 26
Total Yards 351.3 360.1
Rush Yards 141.2 119
Pass Yards 210.1 241.1
3rd Down 39.49% 40.16%
Red Zone Eff 46.87% 63.63%
Time of Poss 30:03 28:23

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 01/03/10 17 Ind 7 @ Buf 30 Buf -8.5 O 35
Sun, 11/12/06 10 Buf 16 @ Ind 17 Buf +12 U 44
Sun, 11/23/03 12 Ind 17 @ Buf 14 P +3 U 37.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks tie

Expect a close game with the Buffalo Bills winning 48% of simulations, and the Indianapolis Colts 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Buffalo Bills commit fewer turnovers in 55% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. The Indianapolis Colts wins 77% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. C.J. Spiller is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Andrew Luck is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 62%.

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