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New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
LINE: ATL -3.5  O/U:56
Thu 8:20 PM NFL Network


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

New Orleans Saints 5 6 0 2-1 3-3 2-3 2-1 3-5 6-5 7-4
Atlanta Falcons 10 1 0 2-1 5-0 5-1 4-0 6-1 6-4-1 5-6

2012 Statistics  
  ATL Offense NO Defense
Points Scored 26.72 27.63
Total Yards 385.9 455.27
Rush Yards 88.27 156.18
Pass Yards 297.63 299.09
3rd Down 51.07% 39.45%
Red Zone Eff 55.55% 52.94%
Time of Poss 31:37 33:27
  NO Offense ATL Defense
Points Scored 28 19.63
Total Yards 382.09 344.9
Rush Yards 91.63 123.18
Pass Yards 290.45 221.72
3rd Down 43.47% 37.4%
Red Zone Eff 73.52% 57.14%
Time of Poss 27:20 28:23

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 11/11/12 10 Atl 27 @ NO 31 NO +2 O 54
Mon, 12/26/11 16 Atl 16 @ NO 45 NO -6.5 O 52.5
Sun, 11/13/11 10 NO 26 @ Atl 23 NO 0 U 50
Mon, 12/27/10 16 NO 17 @ Atl 14 NO +2.5 U 49
Sun, 09/26/10 3 Atl 27 @ NO 24 Atl +4 O 49.5
Sun, 12/13/09 14 NO 26 @ Atl 23 Atl +9.5 U 50.5
Mon, 11/02/09 8 Atl 27 @ NO 35 Atl +10 O 55.5
Sun, 12/07/08 14 Atl 25 @ NO 29 NO -3 O 52
Sun, 11/09/08 10 NO 20 @ Atl 34 Atl -1 O 50
Mon, 12/10/07 14 NO 34 @ Atl 14 NO -4.5 O 42.5
Sun, 10/21/07 7 Atl 16 @ NO 22 Atl +8.5 U 42.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the New Orleans Saints winning 49% of simulations, and the Atlanta Falcons 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New Orleans Saints commit fewer turnovers in 39% of simulations and they go on to win 75% when they take care of the ball. The Atlanta Falcons wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Drew Brees is averaging 354 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. Matt Ryan is averaging 327 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 56%.

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