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Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens
LINE: BAL +2.5  48
Sun 1:00PM CBS


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O/U

Denver Broncos 10 3 0 5-0 5-1 5-2 7-2 3-1 8-5 8-5
Baltimore Ravens 9 4 0 4-1 5-1 4-3 8-2 1-2 6-7 8-5

2012 Statistics  
  BAL Offense DEN Defense
Points Scored 25.46 19.76
Total Yards 344.38 309.46
Rush Yards 108.84 93.69
Pass Yards 235.53 215.76
3rd Down 35.5% 32.58%
Red Zone Eff 58.97% 62.85%
Time of Poss 27:51 29:57
  DEN Offense BAL Defense
Points Scored 28.84 21
Total Yards 390.76 376.07
Rush Yards 106.15 129.3
Pass Yards 284.61 246.76
3rd Down 44.11% 36.26%
Red Zone Eff 56.86% 40%
Time of Poss 30:03 33:28

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 10/10/10 5 Den 17 @ Bal 31 Bal -7 O 40
Sun, 11/01/09 8 Den 7 @ Bal 30 Bal -3.5 U 42.5
Mon, 10/09/06 5 Bal 3 @ Den 13 Den -5.5 U 33.5
Sun, 12/11/05 14 Bal 10 @ Den 12 Bal +14 U 40.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Denver Broncos winning 48% of simulations, and the Baltimore Ravens 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Denver Broncos commit fewer turnovers in 50% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The Baltimore Ravens wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Peyton Manning is averaging 277 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Ray Rice is averaging 77 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.

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