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San Francisco 49ers at Detroit Lions
LINE: SF -6.5  O/U:46.5
Sun 8:20 PM NBC


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

Detroit Lions 1 0 0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
San Francisco 49ers 1 0 0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0

2012 Statistics  
  SF Offense DET Defense
Points Scored 30 23
Total Yards 377 251
Rush Yards 186 78
Pass Yards 191 173
3rd Down 22% 33%
Red Zone Eff 100% 0%
Time of Poss 33:00 30:06
  DET Offense SF Defense
Points Scored 27 22
Total Yards 429 324
Rush Yards 83 45
Pass Yards 346 279
3rd Down 44% 46%
Red Zone Eff 60% 0%
Time of Poss 29:54 27:00

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 10/16/11 6 SF 25 @ Det 19 SF +4.5 U 46
Sun, 12/27/09 16 Det 6 @ SF 20 SF -12 U 41
Sun, 09/21/08 3 Det 13 @ SF 31 SF -4 U 46.5
Sun, 11/12/06 10 SF 19 @ Det 13 SF +6 U 46
Sun, 10/05/03 5 Det 17 @ SF 24 Det +7.5 Push 41
Sun, 11/04/01 9 Det 13 @ SF 21 Det +8.5 U 47.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks tie

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Detroit Lions winning 40% of simulations, and the San Francisco 49ers 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Detroit Lions commit fewer turnovers in 18% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The San Francisco 49ers wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matthew Stafford is averaging 278 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 51%. Frank Gore is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 77%.

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