The New Orleans Saints are a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over
the Kansas City Chiefs. Drew Brees is averaging 313 passing yards and 2.6
TDs per simulation and Mark Ingram is projected for 49 rushing yards and a
36% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where
Kansas City Chiefs wins, Matt Cassel averages 1.39 TD passes vs 0.48
interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.01 TDs to 0.9
interceptions. Jamaal Charles averages 82 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs
when Kansas City Chiefs wins and 57 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. New
Orleans Saints has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit.
Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time.
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