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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
LINE: BUF +4  O/U:51.5
Sun 1:00 PM CBS

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
New England Patriots 1 2 0 0-0 0-1 1-1 1-1 0-1 2-1 2-1-0
Buffalo Bills 2 1 0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-1 0-0 2-1 2-1-0

2012 Statistics  
  BUF Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 29 21.33
Total Yards 371 344
Rush Yards 178 82
Pass Yards 193 262
3rd Down 42.85% 33.33%
Red Zone Eff 70% 57.14%
Time of Poss 30:20 28:45
  NE Offense BUF Defense
Points Scored 27.33 26.33
Total Yards 391 348.66
Rush Yards 109.66 100.33
Pass Yards 281.33 248.33
3rd Down 42.85% 46.15%
Red Zone Eff 50% 55.55%
Time of Poss 31:15 29:40

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 01/01/12 17 Buf 21 @ NE 49 NE -11 O 50
Sun, 09/25/11 3 NE 31 @ Buf 34 Buf +8.5 O 54
Sun, 12/26/10 16 NE 34 @ Buf 3 NE -8 U 44
Sun, 09/26/10 3 Buf 30 @ NE 38 Buf +14 O 43
Sun, 12/20/09 15 NE 17 @ Buf 10 P +7 U 40.5
Mon, 09/14/09 1 Buf 24 @ NE 25 Buf +10.5 O 47.5
Sun, 12/28/08 17 NE 13 @ Buf 0 NE -6 U 36
Sun, 11/09/08 10 Buf 10 @ NE 20 NE -4 U 41.5
Sun, 11/18/07 11 NE 56 @ Buf 10 NE -16 O 47
Sun, 09/23/07 3 Buf 7 @ NE 38 NE -16 O 42

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat the Buffalo Bills. Stevan Ridley is projected for 45 rushing yards and a 20% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Ryan Fitzpatrick averages 2.07 TD passes vs 0.82 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.53 TDs to 1.57 interceptions. Fred Jackson averages 66 rushing yards and 0.53 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 43 yards and 0.25 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time..

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