AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the San Diego Chargers winning 44% of simulations, and the New Orleans Saints 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The San Diego Chargers commit fewer turnovers in 65% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. The New Orleans Saints wins 84% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Philip Rivers is averaging 268 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 46%. Drew Brees is averaging 311 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.