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New England Patriots at St Louis Rams
LINE: STL +7  O/U:46.5
Sun 1:00 PM CBS


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

New England Patriots 4 3 0 2-0 2-1 2-2 4-1 0-2 4-3 5-2-0
St Louis Rams 3 4 0 2-0 3-1 0-3 0-1 3-3 4-2 3-4-0

2012 Statistics  
  STL Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 18.57 23.28
Total Yards 315.28 377.57
Rush Yards 106.28 86.42
Pass Yards 209 291.14
3rd Down 34.09% 42.85%
Red Zone Eff 41.17% 57.89%
Time of Poss 29:06 28:47
  NE Offense STL Defense
Points Scored 31 20.14
Total Yards 436.14 324.42
Rush Yards 149.28 96.42
Pass Yards 286.85 228
3rd Down 47.61% 37.36%
Red Zone Eff 58.06% 50%
Time of Poss 32:18 30:54

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 10/26/08 8 Stl 16 @ NE 23 P -7 U 41
Sun, 11/07/04 9 NE 40 @ Stl 22 NE 0 O 49
Sun, 02/03/02 SB Stl 17 @ NE 20 NE +14 U 53

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

The New England Patriots are a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over the St. Louis Rams. Tom Brady is averaging 281 passing yards and 1.9 TDs per simulation and Stevan Ridley is projected for 71 rushing yards and a 34% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where St. Louis Rams wins, Sam Bradford averages 1.63 TD passes vs 0.47 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.03 TDs to 0.92 interceptions. Steven Jackson averages 77 rushing yards and 0.56 rushing TDs when St. Louis Rams wins and 51 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots have a 48% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time.

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