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Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
LINE: IND +2.5  O/U:43
Sun 1:00 PM CBS


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

Miami Dolphins 4 3 0 1-1 2-1 2-2 3-2 1-1 4-1 3-4-0
Indianapolis Colts 4 3 0 1-1 3-1 1-2 2-2 2-1 4-3 3-4-0

2012 Statistics  
  IND Offense MIA Defense
Points Scored 19.42 18
Total Yards 373 363
Rush Yards 107.14 81.28
Pass Yards 265.85 281.71
3rd Down 40.77% 26.41%
Red Zone Eff 45.83% 36%
Time of Poss 31:04 31:49
  MIA Offense IND Defense
Points Scored 21.42 24.42
Total Yards 327.85 350.42
Rush Yards 113.85 136.28
Pass Yards 214 214.14
3rd Down 39% 40.44%
Red Zone Eff 57.89% 68.18%
Time of Poss 30:23 29:37

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Mon, 09/21/09 2 Ind 27 @ Mia 23 Ind -3 O 42
Sun, 12/31/06 17 Mia 22 @ Ind 27 Mia +9 O 43
Sun, 11/02/03 9 Ind 23 @ Mia 17 Ind +3 O 38.5
Sun, 09/15/02 2 Mia 21 @ Ind 13 Mia +1.5 U 46.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Miami Dolphins winning 57% of simulations, and the Indianapolis Colts 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Miami Dolphins commit fewer turnovers in 62% of simulations and they go on to win 73% when they take care of the ball. The Indianapolis Colts wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Reggie Bush is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 82%. Donald Brown is averaging 51 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 67%.

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