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Houston Texans at San Diego Chargers
LINE: SD +3.5  O/U:44.5
Mon 10:20 PM ESPN


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

Houston Texans 12 4 0 5-1 6-2 6-2 10-2 2-2 9-6-1 8-8
San Diego Chargers 7 9 0 4-2 3-5 4-4 7-5 0-4 7-9 10-6

2012 Statistics  
  SD Offense HOU Defense
Points Scored 21.87 20.68
Total Yards 297.31 323.5
Rush Yards 91.31 97.93
Pass Yards 206 225.56
3rd Down 37.78% 33.02%
Red Zone Eff 46.8% 50%
Time of Poss 31:37 27:50
  HOU Offense SD Defense
Points Scored 26 21.87
Total Yards 371.31 326.75
Rush Yards 131.93 96.68
Pass Yards 239.37 230.06
3rd Down 37.55% 42.05%
Red Zone Eff 56.14% 70%
Time of Poss 33:46 29:15

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 11/07/10 9 SD 29 @ Hou 23 SD -3 O 49.5
Sun, 10/28/07 8 Hou 10 @ SD 35 SD -10.5 U 45.5
Sun, 09/12/04 1 SD 27 @ Hou 20 SD +5 O 44

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Houston Texans winning 47% of simulations, and the San Diego Chargers 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Houston Texans commit fewer turnovers in 46% of simulations and they go on to win 72% when they take care of the ball. The San Diego Chargers wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Arian Foster is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Philip Rivers is averaging 260 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 62%.

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