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New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons
LINE: ATL -1.5  O/U: 49.5
Sun 8:30 PM NBC


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

New England Patriots 3 0 0 2-0 2-0 1-0 2-0 1-0 1-2 0-3
Atlanta Falcons 1 2 0 0-1 1-0 0-2 0-1 1-1 1-2 2-1

2013 Statistics  
  ATL Offense NE Defense
Points Scored 23.66 11.33
Total Yards 379 309
Rush Yards 90 120.66
Pass Yards 289 188.33
3rd Down 42.85% 33.33%
Red Zone Eff 50% 50%
Time of Poss 30:45 27:45
  NE Offense ATL Defense
Points Scored 19.66 24.66
Total Yards 340.33 375
Rush Yards 122.66 79
Pass Yards 217.66 296
3rd Down 39.62% 47.61%
Red Zone Eff 30.76% 70%
Time of Poss 32:15 29:15

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 09/27/09 3 Atl 10 @ NE 26 NE -4.5 U 46
Sun, 10/09/05 5 NE 31 @ Atl 28 NE -1.5 O 41.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks tie

Expect a close game with the New England Patriots winning 46% of simulations, and the Atlanta Falcons 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New England Patriots commit fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. The Atlanta Falcons wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tom Brady is averaging 297 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Matt Ryan is averaging 291 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 60%.

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