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Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
LINE: MIA -8.5  O/U: 42.5
Sun 1:00 PM CBS

Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U
Buffalo Bills 2 4 0 0-2 2-2 0-2 1-4 1-0 3-3 4-2
Miami Dolphins 3 2 0 0-0 1-1 2-1 2-1 1-1 3-2 4-1

2013 Statistics  
  MIA Offense BUF Defense
Points Scored 22.8 26.16
Total Yards 316.6 395
Rush Yards 69.6 124.16
Pass Yards 247 270.83
3rd Down 40.29% 39.6%
Red Zone Eff 71.42% 40%
Time of Poss 26:00 34:04
  BUF Offense MIA Defense
Points Scored 22.66 23.4
Total Yards 344.16 393
Rush Yards 148.83 105.4
Pass Yards 195.33 287.6
3rd Down 33.33% 36.23%
Red Zone Eff 50% 55.55%
Time of Poss 27:18 33:00

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U
Sun, 12/23/12 16 Buf 10 @ Mia 24 Mia -4.5 U 41.5
Thu, 11/15/12 11 Mia 14 @ Buf 19 Buf -1.5 U 45
Sun, 12/18/11 15 Mia 30 @ Buf 23 Mia -1 O 41.5
Sun, 11/20/11 11 Buf 8 @ Mia 35 Mia -2 U 43.5
Sun, 12/19/10 15 Buf 17 @ Mia 14 Buf +5.5 U 40
Sun, 09/12/10 1 Mia 15 @ Buf 10 Mia -3 U 38.5
Sun, 11/29/09 12 Mia 14 @ Buf 31 Buf +3 O 39
Sun, 10/04/09 4 Buf 10 @ Mia 38 Mia +3 O 37
Sun, 12/07/08 14 Mia 16 @ Buf 3 Mia +1 U 42.5
Sun, 10/26/08 8 Buf 16 @ Mia 25 Mia +1.5 U 42.5
Sun, 12/09/07 14 Mia 17 @ Buf 38 Buf -7 O 36.5
Sun, 11/11/07 10 Buf 13 @ Mia 10 P +3 U 40.5

Matchup Edge
Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Buffalo Bills winning 53% of simulations, and the Miami Dolphins 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Buffalo Bills commit fewer turnovers in 64% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. The Miami Dolphins wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ray Rice is averaging 42 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Lamar Miller is averaging 46 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.

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