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Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins
LINE: MIA +2.5  O/U: 43.5
Thu 8:25 PM NFL Network


Matchup  
  W L T

DIV

HOME

AWAY

AFC

NFC

ATS

O-U

Cincinnati Bengals 5 2 0 1-0 4-0 2-2 4-1 2-1 5-2-1 5-3
Miami Dolphins 3 4 0 0-2 1-2 2-2 2-3 1-1 3-4 5-2

2013 Statistics  
  MIA Offense CIN Defense
Points Scored 21.71 18
Total Yards 311 322.5
Rush Yards 89.14 97.25
Pass Yards 221.85 225.25
3rd Down 39.17% 41.66%
Red Zone Eff 68.18% 58.82%
Time of Poss 28:32 29:44
  CIN Offense MIA Defense
Points Scored 24.62 23.85
Total Yards 369.62 355
Rush Yards 99.75 109.85
Pass Yards 269.87 245.14
3rd Down 42.05% 36.73%
Red Zone Eff 71.42% 53.84%
Time of Poss 31:18 31:28

Recent Games        

Date

Week

Result

Line

O/U

Sun, 10/07/12 5 Mia 17 @ Cin 13 Mia +4 U 44.5
Sun, 10/31/10 8 Mia 22 @ Cin 14 Mia +2 U 44
Sun, 12/30/07 17 Cin 38 @ Mia 25 Cin -3 O 46.5

Matchup Edge

Points Scored
Points Allowed
Yards Gained
Yards Allowed
Rush Offense
Pass Offense
Time of Possession
Red Zone Efficiency
Turnovers
Sacks

Expect a close game with the Cincinnati Bengals winning 44% of simulations, and the Miami Dolphins 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cincinnati Bengals commit fewer turnovers in 62% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. The Miami Dolphins wins 80% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Giovani Bernard is averaging 40 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Lamar Miller is averaging 56 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 80%.

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